Phillies 2, Red Sox 1

 

Off-fence, we need some off-fence, boyos. Do you know what I mean by the word, "offence"? Hit the ball. Get some runs. 

After an 18-run streak in three games earlier this month, the Red Sox have scored only four runs in the last three games. That's 0.15 runs per inning in the last three, incidentally all home at Fenway. Boston's slugging percentage (.351) is second lowest in MLB, on-base plus slugging (.664) is third lowest, and total runs on the season (157) is fourth lowest. The pitching isn't the problem - the team ERA is 3.95, 12th of 30 in MLB. But our hitting stinks.

Last night, the Sox only managed one run against the Phillies, an RBI single to right center by Raefela in the seventh inning. Other than that, bupkis.

Brayan Bello gave up one run over 6⅓ innings (opener Jovani Morán gave up the other run) and even Zach Kelly didn't allow any runs. But even the best pitching isn't going to win many games when the batting only gets one run, or 0.15 runs per inning.

The Sox are now 11 games out of first place, the furthest back in their division of any team in MLB except the Mets (12½). 

Sonny Gray (3-1, 3.54) pitches tonight, if it even matters. Gray is a career 2-2 against the Phillies, striking out 46 while allowing only five home runs over 40⅔ innings, although he did get roughed up in his last two starts against them with the Cardinals in 2025 and '24. He'll be pitching against rookie Andrew Painter (1-4, 6.89), who's given up 25 runs on 44 hits this season, including six homers.

Statistically, if pitching matters, the odds would favor the Red Sox, but unless the offence improves ("off-fence") a Little Leaguer could pitch for the Phillies and probably still win.